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Red65
364133.4
57342.5
332228.3
Blue90
438422.9
150650.3
3350.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231470501002002503006590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#18
42.53.6
45.942.3
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End7.4
blue by 7.8
50.32.9
52.249.3
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End10.7
Second
3641
#22
33.43.6
38.935.3
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End6.8
blue by 16.8
33
#10
50.22.9
52.950.0
Auto15.6
Teleop28.8
End5.0
Third
3322
#27
28.33.6
34.030.4
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End6.1
red by 5.3
22.92.9
28.725.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed