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Red118
571259.5
438422.9
148137.0
Blue50
341437.4
6821.7
54830.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910205015020011850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.4
56.255.8
Auto13.8
Teleop34.5
End10.2
red by 22.1
3414
#11
37.43.3
41.137.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
1481
#20
37.00.4
36.636.2
Auto12.7
Teleop16.9
End6.9
red by 6.5
548
#12
30.53.3
31.127.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Third
22.90.4
25.825.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
red by 1.2
68
#31
21.73.3
26.923.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed