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Red118
150650.3
721138.5
842638.4
Blue74
77222.6
332228.3
283434.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489105020025011874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.7
49.348.6
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End10.7
red by 15.6
34.71.2
37.436.1
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Second
7211
#13
38.50.7
39.939.2
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 10.2
3322
#27
28.31.2
30.429.2
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End6.1
Third
38.40.7
39.238.5
Auto14.0
Teleop16.0
End8.3
red by 15.7
772
#30
22.61.2
24.823.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed