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Red104
24542.5
364133.4
341437.4
Blue94
481021.9
353935.3
6821.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347605010015020025010494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#17
42.51.3
45.744.4
Auto15.4
Teleop19.3
End6.8
red by 7.2
3539
#14
35.30.7
33.834.5
Auto7.0
Teleop18.5
End8.5
Second
3414
#11
37.41.3
37.836.5
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 15.5
4810
#28
21.90.7
20.921.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
3641
#22
33.41.3
35.434.1
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End6.8
red by 11.7
68
#31
21.70.7
23.624.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed