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Red104
5158.8
20121.9
438422.9
Blue88
148137.0
283434.7
50331.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112115608010012014010488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#5
58.80.2
59.759.5
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
red by 21.8
1481
#20
37.01.2
36.235.1
Auto12.7
Teleop16.9
End6.9
Second
22.90.2
24.023.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
blue by 11.8
34.71.2
36.135.0
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Third
201
#32
21.90.2
23.323.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.3
End4.2
blue by 9.5
503
#24
31.41.2
32.931.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed