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Red119
22629.2
57342.5
150650.3
Blue95
586010.8
30242.1
842638.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710705020025011995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.8
57.556.7
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End10.7
red by 8.2
302
#16
42.10.5
45.544.9
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
573
#18
42.50.8
48.347.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End7.4
red by 4.1
38.40.5
43.442.9
Auto14.0
Teleop16.0
End8.3
Third
226
#1
29.20.8
24.623.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End7.9
red by 18.4
5860
#19
10.80.5
14.313.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned