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Red117
5158.8
77222.6
233743.4
Blue90
341437.4
481021.9
57342.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811705010020025030011790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#5
58.81.7
65.563.7
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
red by 16.3
573
#18
42.51.7
47.545.9
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End7.4
Second
43.41.7
46.344.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
red by 6.0
3414
#11
37.41.7
42.841.1
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
772
#30
22.61.7
30.929.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.5
End4.8
red by 0.8
4810
#28
21.91.7
24.723.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned