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Red108
721138.5
30242.1
22629.2
Blue120
50331.4
353935.3
438422.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118111708090100130140108120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
42.10.1
44.944.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 6.8
3539
#14
35.31.0
37.038.1
Auto7.0
Teleop18.5
End8.5
Second
7211
#13
38.50.1
40.740.6
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 7.1
503
#24
31.41.0
39.640.6
Auto10.9
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Third
226
#1
29.20.1
23.823.7
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End7.9
red by 6.3
22.91.0
27.628.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned