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Red151
283434.7
571259.5
150650.3
Blue68
481021.9
872826.7
828018.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16254010020025030015168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.9
55.256.1
Auto13.8
Teleop34.5
End10.2
red by 32.7
8728
#15
26.70.3
27.627.9
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
Second
50.30.9
48.649.5
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End10.7
red by 28.4
4810
#28
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
34.70.9
35.035.9
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
red by 16.3
8280
#26
18.40.3
14.715.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed