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Red143
283246.6
3350.2
341437.4
Blue72
543625.3
5158.8
6821.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421165010020014372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
50.20.5
50.651.1
Auto15.6
Teleop28.8
End5.0
blue by 8.6
51
#5
58.82.6
59.556.9
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
Second
46.60.5
47.247.7
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End8.9
red by 21.3
5436
#25
25.32.6
27.925.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Third
3414
#11
37.40.5
36.537.0
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 15.7
68
#31
21.72.6
24.321.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed