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Red108
341437.4
57342.5
54830.5
Blue156
5158.8
233743.4
148137.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113145050100200250108156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#18
42.50.1
42.542.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End7.4
blue by 16.3
51
#5
58.80.5
56.957.4
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
Second
3414
#11
37.40.1
37.437.4
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
blue by 6.0
43.40.5
41.542.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Third
548
#12
30.50.1
30.630.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End5.8
blue by 6.5
1481
#20
37.00.5
35.135.6
Auto12.7
Teleop16.9
End6.9