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Red139
148137.0
233743.4
5158.8
Blue138
571259.5
22629.2
828018.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145106050200250300350400139138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#5
58.80.2
56.756.9
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
blue by 0.7
59.50.7
58.759.5
Auto13.8
Teleop34.5
End10.2
Second
43.40.2
41.441.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
red by 14.2
226
#1
29.20.7
28.529.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End7.9
Third
1481
#20
37.00.2
34.935.1
Auto12.7
Teleop16.9
End6.9
red by 18.6
8280
#26
18.40.7
17.718.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End7.1