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Red101
438422.9
91030.3
3350.2
Blue133
54830.5
57342.5
341437.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161136080100140101133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
50.20.1
51.151.0
Auto15.6
Teleop28.8
End5.0
red by 7.7
573
#18
42.50.4
42.142.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End7.4
Second
910
#29
30.30.1
31.231.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 7.0
3414
#11
37.40.4
37.037.4
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
22.90.1
23.823.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
blue by 7.6
548
#12
30.50.4
30.230.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End5.8