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Red96
872826.7
283434.7
283246.6
Blue122
50331.4
842638.4
46941.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122116608010014016096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.3
47.747.4
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End8.9
red by 5.5
469
#21
41.10.2
41.341.5
Auto13.2
Teleop19.4
End8.2
Second
34.70.3
35.935.5
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
blue by 3.6
38.40.2
38.538.7
Auto14.0
Teleop16.0
End8.3
Third
8728
#15
26.70.3
27.927.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
blue by 4.7
503
#24
31.40.2
31.832.0
Auto10.9
Teleop14.2
End6.7