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Red110
721138.5
364133.4
24542.5
Blue122
5158.8
233743.4
148137.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119143050100200250110122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#17
42.50.2
42.742.5
Auto15.4
Teleop19.3
End6.8
blue by 16.3
51
#5
58.80.2
56.856.6
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
Second
7211
#13
38.50.2
38.738.5
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End7.1
blue by 4.9
43.40.2
41.441.2
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Third
3641
#22
33.40.2
33.633.4
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End6.8
blue by 3.6
1481
#20
37.00.2
35.034.8
Auto12.7
Teleop16.9
End6.9