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Red71
438422.9
91030.3
3350.2
Blue115
283246.6
283434.7
543625.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114113608010012014071115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
50.20.8
51.050.2
Auto15.6
Teleop28.8
End5.0
red by 3.6
46.60.0
47.447.4
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End8.9
Second
910
#29
30.30.8
31.130.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 4.4
34.70.0
35.535.5
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Third
22.90.8
23.722.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
blue by 2.4
5436
#25
25.30.0
25.225.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End5.2