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Red139
828018.4
22629.2
571259.5
Blue143
30242.1
150650.3
353935.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011410200300400500139143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.9
57.057.8
Auto13.8
Teleop34.5
End10.2
red by 9.2
50.30.4
49.950.2
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End10.7
Second
226
#1
29.20.9
26.727.6
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End7.9
blue by 12.9
302
#16
42.10.4
41.642.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Third
8280
#26
18.40.9
15.916.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End7.1
blue by 16.9
3539
#14
35.30.4
34.935.2
Auto7.0
Teleop18.5
End8.5