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Red142
828018.4
22629.2
571259.5
Blue78
283246.6
283434.7
872826.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113113809010012013014015014278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.9
57.858.7
Auto13.8
Teleop34.5
End10.2
red by 12.9
46.60.8
47.446.6
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End8.9
Second
226
#1
29.20.9
27.628.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End7.9
blue by 5.5
34.70.8
35.534.7
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Third
8280
#26
18.40.9
16.817.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End7.1
blue by 8.3
8728
#15
26.70.8
27.626.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2