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Red113
77222.6
46941.1
842638.4
Blue137
5158.8
233743.4
148137.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103145050200250113137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#21
41.10.3
40.941.1
Auto13.2
Teleop19.4
End8.2
blue by 17.6
51
#5
58.80.1
56.656.7
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
Second
38.40.3
38.138.4
Auto14.0
Teleop16.0
End8.3
blue by 5.1
43.40.1
41.241.4
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Third
772
#30
22.60.3
22.422.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.5
End4.8
blue by 14.4
1481
#20
37.00.1
34.834.9
Auto12.7
Teleop16.9
End6.9