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Red132
931247.7
439827.6
546061.3
Blue171
3355.2
317536.7
717440.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713350100200132171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.1
61.261.1
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End9.5
red by 6.1
33
#8
55.21.0
53.354.3
Auto17.7
Teleop28.8
End7.6
Second
47.70.1
47.647.5
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.9
red by 7.1
7174
#29
40.61.0
38.639.6
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Third
4398
#27
27.60.1
27.527.4
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End7.0
blue by 9.1
36.71.0
34.735.7
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3