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Red157
931247.7
439827.6
546061.3
Blue155
3355.2
317536.7
717440.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14513150100200250157155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.5
60.761.2
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End9.5
red by 6.1
33
#8
55.20.7
52.653.3
Auto17.7
Teleop28.8
End7.6
Second
47.70.5
47.147.6
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.9
red by 7.1
7174
#29
40.60.7
37.938.6
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Third
4398
#27
27.60.5
27.027.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End7.0
blue by 9.1
36.70.7
34.034.7
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3