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Red143
283237.0
283439.7
22624.4
Blue147
3355.2
317536.7
717440.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101136050150200143147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.6
39.039.7
Auto14.3
Teleop18.0
End7.6
blue by 15.6
33
#8
55.20.5
52.152.6
Auto17.7
Teleop28.8
End7.6
Second
2832
#13
37.00.6
36.437.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End7.1
blue by 3.5
7174
#29
40.60.5
37.437.9
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Third
226
#14
24.40.6
23.824.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7
blue by 12.3
36.70.5
33.534.0
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3