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Red150
717440.6
317536.7
3355.2
Blue101
365537.0
353840.7
366840.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129127110120140150150101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
55.20.6
51.452.1
Auto17.7
Teleop28.8
End7.6
red by 14.5
3538
#20
40.70.4
41.140.7
Auto9.9
Teleop22.4
End8.3
Second
7174
#29
40.60.6
36.837.4
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
blue by 0.1
3668
#25
40.70.4
41.140.7
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End5.1
Third
36.70.6
32.933.5
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3
blue by 0.3
37.00.4
37.437.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End5.9