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Red111
717440.6
721148.5
922628.5
Blue118
295929.1
309627.4
931247.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125101050150200250111118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#22
48.50.2
49.248.9
Auto13.4
Teleop27.8
End6.5
red by 0.8
47.71.3
43.945.2
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.9
Second
7174
#29
40.60.2
36.836.5
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
red by 11.5
29.11.3
28.830.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End5.9
Third
9226
#30
28.50.2
28.728.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.9
red by 1.1
3096
#15
27.41.3
25.526.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned