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Red82
317536.7
366840.7
509017.8
Blue54
360427.9
473718.7
918218.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103650501508254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#25
40.70.7
41.741.1
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End5.1
red by 12.8
3604
#28
27.90.8
28.227.4
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End6.4
Second
36.70.7
32.431.7
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3
red by 18.0
4737
#26
18.70.8
19.318.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End5.7
Third
5090
#17
17.80.7
17.717.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End4.4
blue by 0.2
9182
#32
18.00.8
18.417.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed