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Red115
608146.1
353638.4
365537.0
Blue143
89426.2
239945.4
546061.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913480100120140160180115143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.4
46.546.1
Auto12.5
Teleop25.6
End8.0
blue by 15.2
61.31.2
57.758.8
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End9.5
Second
3536
#16
38.40.4
38.337.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.9
End5.6
blue by 6.9
2399
#10
45.41.2
43.544.7
Auto14.2
Teleop21.3
End9.5
Third
37.00.4
37.937.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End5.9
red by 10.8
894
#4
26.21.2
24.325.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned