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Red122
607840.5
22624.4
283439.7
Blue79
439827.6
717440.6
691414.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067905015020012279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#18
40.51.4
39.440.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.0
End5.8
blue by 0.1
7174
#29
40.60.7
36.535.9
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Second
39.71.4
35.937.3
Auto14.3
Teleop18.0
End7.6
red by 12.1
4398
#27
27.60.7
26.525.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End7.0
Third
226
#14
24.41.4
20.622.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7
red by 10.3
6914
#31
14.10.7
14.213.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned