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Red113
366840.7
353840.7
365537.0
Blue111
2738.5
608146.1
102340.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513650100150200113111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#20
40.70.1
41.241.1
Auto9.9
Teleop22.4
End8.3
blue by 5.4
46.10.3
46.546.1
Auto12.5
Teleop25.6
End8.0
Second
3668
#25
40.70.1
41.241.1
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End5.1
blue by 0.1
1023
#12
40.80.3
41.140.8
Auto13.2
Teleop21.5
End7.0
Third
37.00.1
37.537.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End5.9
blue by 1.5
27
#19
38.50.3
38.938.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End8.7