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Red120
309627.4
317536.7
3355.2
Blue121
22624.4
283439.7
283237.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12199050150200120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
55.20.2
51.051.2
Auto17.7
Teleop28.8
End7.6
red by 15.6
39.70.6
37.738.3
Auto14.3
Teleop18.0
End7.6
Second
36.70.2
32.432.6
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3
blue by 0.4
2832
#13
37.00.6
35.035.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End7.1
Third
3096
#15
27.40.2
27.127.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End2.7
red by 3.0
226
#14
24.40.6
22.423.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7