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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531590100200300400500143149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#12
54.90.0
54.954.9
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
red by 1.8
53.10.0
53.453.4
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
Second
862
#1
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 0.4
1189
#24
51.80.0
52.152.1
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Third
1025
#25
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
blue by 5.9
503
#9
45.90.0
46.246.3
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6