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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164155100120140180200167170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#3
58.10.2
57.958.1
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 5.0
53.10.4
53.053.4
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
Second
302
#10
58.00.2
57.858.0
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
red by 6.2
1189
#24
51.80.4
51.752.1
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Third
2832
#26
44.20.2
44.044.2
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
blue by 1.7
503
#9
45.90.4
45.846.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6