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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031765015020025091175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#29
44.71.0
47.446.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
blue by 13.3
302
#10
58.01.3
57.558.7
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
Second
5534
#17
35.31.0
28.127.1
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
blue by 19.2
5460
#14
54.41.3
59.660.9
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
Third
5603
#33
34.31.0
30.729.7
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
blue by 12.5
2960
#16
46.81.3
45.947.2
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed98%Activation oddsEarned