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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710650150200151121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.11.8
56.658.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
red by 23.7
8179
#30
38.31.2
35.036.2
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
548
#20
42.01.8
36.838.6
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End6.9
red by 3.9
2771
#13
38.11.2
35.536.7
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Third
5167
#21
35.11.8
32.734.4
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
red by 0.5
6861
#27
34.61.2
32.733.8
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned