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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441195010020010880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
54.41.6
60.959.3
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
red by 12.6
1023
#23
41.92.3
47.044.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Second
2771
#13
38.11.6
36.735.1
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
red by 2.1
7782
#40
36.02.3
37.935.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Third
5167
#21
35.11.6
34.432.8
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
red by 0.8
5603
#33
34.32.3
29.727.4
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed