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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1409650150200114112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#12
54.91.1
57.155.9
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
red by 3.2
1189
#24
51.81.1
49.550.6
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Second
2832
#26
44.21.1
43.041.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
red by 5.9
6753
#15
38.31.1
31.232.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
Third
4453
#28
29.31.1
27.626.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End7.9
red by 12.4
2604
#35
17.01.1
14.916.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned