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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469750200130118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
52.20.7
49.148.4
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 13.9
8179
#30
38.31.0
36.237.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
7160
#34
43.60.7
46.545.7
Auto12.7
Teleop22.1
End8.2
red by 8.6
308
#36
34.91.0
32.133.2
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
5926
#18
38.00.7
37.937.1
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
red by 4.2
7501
#37
33.81.0
29.230.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned