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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110850200250124138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#3
58.10.8
55.454.6
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 11.0
5660
#19
47.01.7
42.844.5
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
6078
#32
45.90.8
48.147.3
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
red by 7.8
2771
#13
38.11.7
35.136.8
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Third
7250
#38
30.60.8
35.134.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
blue by 4.6
5534
#17
35.31.7
29.130.8
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned