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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17313150100150200250151144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.4
49.248.8
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
blue by 7.1
62.10.7
58.158.8
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
Second
4362
#12
54.90.4
55.955.5
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
red by 14.9
1025
#25
40.00.7
36.337.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Third
5460
#14
54.40.4
59.358.9
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
red by 19.9
6861
#27
34.60.7
34.234.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned