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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001295015020010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.60.0
49.049.0
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
red by 7.8
2960
#16
46.82.1
49.447.3
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Second
5167
#21
35.10.0
32.832.8
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
blue by 9.1
2832
#26
44.22.1
41.939.8
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
Third
2604
#35
17.00.0
16.016.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
blue by 8.1
8382
#39
25.12.1
26.824.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed