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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112950100150200146152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.7
50.651.3
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
red by 1.3
1189
#24
51.81.7
50.652.3
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Second
862
#1
52.20.7
48.449.1
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 9.5
42.71.7
44.145.8
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Third
7782
#40
36.00.7
35.636.3
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
red by 1.7
5603
#33
34.31.7
27.429.0
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned