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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291330100200300400500138135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#19
47.00.5
44.544.0
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 2.4
3546
#29
44.70.7
46.146.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Second
1023
#23
41.90.5
44.744.2
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
blue by 1.7
7160
#34
43.60.7
45.746.5
Auto12.7
Teleop22.1
End8.2
Third
6753
#15
38.30.5
32.331.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
red by 3.3
308
#36DQ
34.90.7
33.233.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned