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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12714950100200123154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.1
48.848.9
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 0.6
5460
#14
54.40.8
58.959.7
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
Second
5926
#18
38.00.1
38.939.0
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
blue by 8.0
503
#9
45.90.8
46.947.7
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
Third
7250
#38
30.60.1
34.334.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
blue by 7.6
6753
#15
38.30.8
31.832.6
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed