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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9714950200124146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#36
34.91.7
33.935.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
blue by 23.1
245
#3
58.10.9
53.153.9
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
6861
#27
34.61.7
34.936.6
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
blue by 8.1
42.70.9
45.846.6
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Third
5603
#33
34.31.7
29.030.8
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
blue by 6.2
5561
#11
40.50.9
36.937.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned