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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142152050100200250300144141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.6
53.854.4
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
blue by 1.8
4362
#12
54.90.7
56.455.7
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
Second
503
#9
45.90.6
49.249.9
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
blue by 5.8
1189
#24
51.80.7
52.551.9
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Third
5603
#33
34.30.6
31.432.0
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
red by 0.5
7501
#37
33.80.7
33.733.0
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned