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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10716950150200250121126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#29
44.70.5
47.447.9
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
blue by 17.4
62.11.7
60.759.1
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
Second
2832
#26
44.20.5
43.644.1
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
blue by 10.8
55.01.7
52.350.7
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Third
2604
#35
17.00.5
17.417.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
blue by 27.2
3767
#22
44.21.7
44.743.0
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsMissed79%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned