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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201316080100140160180200113136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#25
40.00.1
40.340.2
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
blue by 12.2
862
#1
52.21.0
49.850.7
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
Second
9208
#31
35.90.1
37.537.4
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End7.7
blue by 6.1
548
#20
42.01.0
38.539.4
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End6.9
Third
5167
#21
35.10.1
36.336.2
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
blue by 0.2
5534
#17
35.31.0
33.334.3
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned