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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301355010015020025095142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#34
43.61.8
46.644.7
Auto12.7
Teleop22.1
End8.2
blue by 14.4
302
#10
58.00.8
56.657.4
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
Second
5561
#11
40.51.8
41.239.4
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
red by 2.5
2771
#13
38.10.8
39.240.0
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Third
7250
#38
30.61.8
34.632.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
red by 1.3
4453
#28
29.30.8
29.930.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned