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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413150100150200130113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.62.0
51.849.8
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
red by 8.7
6078
#32
45.90.9
44.443.5
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
Second
1189
#24
51.82.0
51.949.9
Auto16.9
Teleop25.4
End8.7
red by 9.9
1023
#23
41.90.9
47.846.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Third
503
#9
45.92.0
49.947.8
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
red by 11.0
308
#36
34.90.9
36.835.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed