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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041425015020083125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#19
47.01.3
46.144.8
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
blue by 7.4
5460
#14
54.40.2
57.056.8
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
Second
8179
#30
38.31.3
38.337.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
red by 0.4
5926
#18
38.00.2
39.138.9
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
Third
2604
#35
17.01.3
17.916.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
blue by 17.4
5603
#33
34.30.2
32.031.8
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned