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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539950200151127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.9
54.455.4
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
red by 17.1
7782
#40
36.01.8
31.633.4
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Second
2960
#16
46.80.9
49.850.7
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
red by 12.2
6861
#27
34.61.8
34.936.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.0
End6.0
Third
6753
#15
38.30.9
33.434.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
red by 4.5
7501
#37
33.81.8
33.034.8
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned